[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Nov 3 16:07:08 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 031551
SWODY1
SPC AC 031549

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0949 AM CST THU NOV 03 2005

VALID 031630Z - 041200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

FAST ZONAL FLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE NATION THROUGH THE
PERIOD...THOUGH STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING INTO THE WEST WILL
LOWER HEIGHTS ACROSS THE NWRN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY. THE WLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL RESULTING IN A DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS EAST OF
THE ROCKIES...WHICH IS UNFAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE PACIFIC NW...MOIST STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS UPSTREAM TROUGH APPROACHES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO GIVEN NEUTRAL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...LESS
THAN 100 J/KG OF MUCAPE AND LACK OF DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD LIMIT THE
DEPTH OF CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND INHIBIT MOST THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

..IMY.. 11/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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