[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 030520
SWODY1
SPC AC 030519

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CDT TUE MAY 03 2005

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N PIE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S DMN 35 WSW SOW
45 ENE DRA 35 WNW U31 65 ESE 4LW 50 NNE 4LW 30 ESE RDM 50 E DLS 35
ESE EPH 30 NNW 63S.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW FCA 25 NNW HLN
35 NE JAC 50 SSE LND 10 NW LAR 40 ESE CYS 15 NE AKO 35 W GLD 15 SE
LAA 40 ENE RTN 45 WNW CVS 35 NE HOB 50 NW ABI 25 SSW BWD 25 N SAT 15
N NIR 25 NE CRP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE ERN PARTS OF THE NATION WILL DEAMPLIFY
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...LEAVING A MAINLY ZONAL FLOW REGIME
ACROSS THE NATION.  AT THE SURFACE...LARGE ANTICYCLONE WILL CONTINUE
TO ADVECT A COOL CP AIR MASS INTO MUCH OF THE ERN-TWO THIRDS OF THE
COUNTRY...PRECLUDING ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER. 

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
A FEW TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS CNTRL/SRN FL TUESDAY.  A FRONT WAS
SITUATED ACROSS THE KEYS WITH A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS FLOWING NWD
AHEAD OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE IMPULSE MOVING EWD FROM THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL.  TSTMS...NOW OVER THE SERN GULF...WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT
 DURING THE EARLY PART OF TUESDAY.  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES/SEABREEZE DURING THE AFTERNOON. 
GIVEN RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER SUPPORT/FLOW...ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

...RIO GRANDE VLY INTO W TX...
00Z H85 CHART SHOWED A SECONDARY SURGE OF CP AIR MASS HEADED SWD
THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS.  THIS SURGE WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN THE COOL
ELY UPSLOPE FLOW WWD BEYOND THE RIO GRANDE VLY TO ALONG THE NERN
MEXICAN MOUNTAINS TUESDAY.  APPROACH OF THE WEAK SRN ROCKIES UPPER
TROUGH WILL ENCOURAGE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ATOP THE COLD DOME IN
PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS W TX SEWD TO THE RIO GRANDE VLY. 
SEVERE WEATHER...HOWEVER...IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE COOL LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT.

..RACY/LEVIT.. 05/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.