[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 242000
SWODY1
SPC AC 241959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CST MON JAN 24 2005

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WSW TUS 50 ESE GBN
55 E PHX 30 SSW INW GUP 30 SW ABQ ONM TCS SVC 45 SW DMN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN FEATURES MEAN RIDGE FROM NRN MEX NNWWD THROUGH
CANADIAN ROCKIES AND TROUGH FROM CANADIAN MARITIMES SWD INTO
ATLANTIC.  SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW --
NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER SERN AZ...IS GOING TO
MOVE NEWD THROUGH MEAN RIDGE POSITION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...THEN
TURN EWD ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS BY 25/12Z.

...AZ/NM...
VIS IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING NUMBER/DEPTH OF TCU AND CB OVER MUCH OF
 THUNDER OUTLOOK AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS IN
RESPONSE TO COMBINATION OF DIABATIC SFC HEATING...MARGINAL BUT
ADEQUATE MOISTURE WITH 30S/40S F SFC DEW POINTS...OROGRAPHICALLY
AIDED LIFT AND WEAKENING CINH. MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC FCST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MLCAPES UP TO 300 J/KG POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER
LOWER ELEVATIONS ADJACENT TO WHITE MOUNTAINS.

ELSEWHERE...INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND SMALL CB MAY MOVE ASHORE
COASTAL CA...IN ERN PERIPHERY OF ZONE OF COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH OFFSHORE SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  ALTHOUGH VERY ISOLATED/BRIEF
THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT
GEN THUNDER FCST.  AIR MASS E OF ROCKIES REMAINS TOO DRY/STABLE FOR
TSTMS.

..EDWARDS.. 01/24/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.