[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 210534
SWODY1
SPC AC 210532

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST THU JAN 20 2005

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

UPPER LOW POSITIONED OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA WILL DRIFT ENEWD TOWARD
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.  VERY LITTLE NWD MOVEMENT WILL LIMIT
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS SRN AZ AS COLDEST MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES/STEEPEST LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE BORDER.  DESPITE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID-HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE...IT APPEARS INSUFFICIENT TO GENERATE SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY
FOR DEEP CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS.

...ERN TN TO SRN OH...

STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY
INTO THE OH VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD. DESPITE INCREASING WARM
ADVECTION ACROSS THE TN VALLEY INTO SRN OH...IT APPEARS DEEP WLY
FLOW WILL LIMIT MOISTURE RETURN INTO REGION OF DEEP ASCENT. 
CONVECTION SHOULD EVOLVE ACROSS THIS AREA LATE BUT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN TOO SHALLOW TO GENERATE LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 01/21/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.