[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 150525
SWODY1
SPC AC 150523

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 PM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E EYW 45 W PBI 10
NNE MLB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A NRN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND MIDWEST...COUPLED WITH A MORE SUBTLE SRN STREAM JET MAX
MOVING FROM TX ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY...WILL RESULT IN LARGE
SCALE TROUGH AMPLIFICATION AND HEIGHT FALLS FROM THE OH VALLEY TO
THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS PERIOD. UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
INTERIOR NORTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN AREAS. WHILE THE BULK OF THE
CONUS LAND AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A COLD AND DRY AIR
MASS...SEGMENTS OF THE MOST RECENT POLAR FRONT HAVE STALLED ACROSS
SRN FL WHERE GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
PERSIST TODAY.

...SERN FL...
WEAK SURFACE DEVELOPMENT ENHANCED BY MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND
DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW WILL AID LIFT/CONVERGENCE ALONG THE STALLED
FRONT OVER SRN FL DURING THE DAY. WHILE RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ACT TO INITIALLY LIMIT CAPE/INSTABILITY OVER THE
REGION...AFTERNOON HEATING AND GRADUAL COOLING ALOFT MAY SUPPORT A
FEW TSTMS FORMING NEAR A DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE BEFORE SYSTEM MOVES
EAST. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED BY
MEAGER STORM UPDRAFTS AND MARGINAL SHEAR.

..CARBIN.. 01/15/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.