[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Jan 8 19:56:45 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 081955
SWODY1
SPC AC 081953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST SAT JAN 08 2005

VALID 082000Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE UIL 25 NE HQM
EUG 35 ESE EKA 25 W UKI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WEST COAST...

LOWEST 3KM LAPSE RATES REMAIN QUITE STEEP...ON THE ORDER OF
8C/KM...FROM COASTAL WA/ORE WWD BENEATH THE UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN
PACIFIC.  LATEST SATELLITE SUPPORTS THIS WITH WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING NEWD TOWARD THE COAST.  LARGE
SCALE FORCING WILL REMAIN WEAK GIVEN THE EXPECTED GRADUAL FILLING OF
THE UPPER LOW AND SLOW MOVEMENT.  HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF DEEPER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS FOR AREAS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.  ALTHOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE SPREAD WELL
INLAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN ID INTO NERN NV...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO WARRANT AN OUTLOOK OF GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS.

...FL PANHANDLE...

SEWD-MOVING BAND OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT BECOMES
DETACHED FROM LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH EXITING THE NEW ENGLAND
REGION.  IN THE ABSENCE OF UPPER SUPPORT...WARMER WATERS OF NRN GULF
MAY SUPPORT ONE OR TWO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE
ACTIVITY DISSIPATES.

..DARROW.. 01/08/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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