[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 071944
SWODY1
SPC AC 071942

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0142 PM CST FRI JAN 07 2005

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW BPT 25 W POE
20 WSW SHV 25 S TXK 25 E LIT 20 SSW DYR 25 S CKV 20 ENE BNA 50 WSW
CSV 20 NW BHM 25 NE LUL 25 S MCB 40 ESE 7R4.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM UIL 30 E AST 40 NNE
4BK UKI PRB 10 W RAL 35 NNE SAN 15 SE SAN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL GULF STATES...

INFLUENCE FROM UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MID MS VALLEY WILL SOON SHIFT
AWAY FROM NRN GULF STATES.  IN ITS WAKE...WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALONG
WITH SLOWLY MODIFYING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A LOT
OF SHALLOW CONVECTION ALONG WIND SHIFT FROM SWRN LA INTO CNTRL MS. 
SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY HAS DEVELOPED FOR A FEW DEEPER UPDRAFTS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY WHERE LARGE SCALE ASCENT HAS YET TO
NEUTRALIZE.  AS LAPSE RATES BEGIN TO WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING IT
APPEARS THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.  AIRMASS
RECOVERY INTO THE TN VALLEY APPEARS INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A
GENERAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK.

...WEST COAST...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY DECREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND
MOVED INLAND AND WEAKENED ALONG THE SRN CA COAST.  WITH INITIAL BAND
OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OF THIS REGION...THE
GREATEST RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE PERIOD WILL OCCUR AHEAD
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG THE ORE/NRN CA COAST.

..DARROW.. 01/07/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.