[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Feb 17 16:30:42 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 171630
SWODY1
SPC AC 171628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CST THU FEB 17 2005

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW UKI 60 SE RBL
20 NNW BIH 30 SSE P38 50 ESE SGU 25 SSW GCN 35 WNW PRC 40 NNW BLH
CZZ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE BROAD MID LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN W OF THE CA COAST AS PART OF A
GRADUALLY WEAKENING REX BLOCK OVER THE ERN PACIFIC.  SEVERAL SMALLER
SCALE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL ROTATE NEWD OVER SRN CA LATER TODAY
INTO TONIGHT...AS EVIDENCED BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.  THOUGH REGIONAL
12Z SOUNDINGS WERE SUPPORTIVE OF ONLY MINIMAL INSTABILITY...OCEANIC
LIGHTNING DATA REVEALS A FEW STRIKES IN A CLUSTER NEAR 30 N AND 121
W WITH AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND OTHER ISOLATED STRIKES
FARTHER OFFSHORE NEAR THE MID LEVEL COLD POOL INVOF 30 N AND 127 W. 
THE THREAT FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INLAND WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY
AND INTO TONIGHT AS THE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE INLAND.

ELSEWHERE...RELATIVELY COLD AND/OR STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE
DEEP CONVECTION.

..THOMPSON.. 02/17/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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