[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 150541
SWODY1
SPC AC 150539

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1139 PM CST MON FEB 14 2005

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE DAY 15 WSW PKB
CRW 20 WSW TRI 45 SSW TYS HSV 10 ENE UOX 55 NE LIT 15 SSE TBN 40 WNW
STL 15 SW SPI DNV 35 N IND 10 ESE DAY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDWEST/OH-TN VLYS...
POTENT UPPER TROUGH NOW OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL GRADUALLY EVOLVE/
DEEPEN OVER THE NRN PLAINS EARLY TUESDAY THEN MOVE TOWARD THE
MIDWEST AND THE OH/TN VLYS BY LATE TUESDAY.  AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...RETURN FLOW WILL ADVECT NEAR 50F SURFACE DEW POINTS NWD
INTO THE LOWER OH VLY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON BENEATH STEEP H7-H5 LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7C/KM.  THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN WILL NOT BE OF HIGH
QUALITY...SBCAPES WILL BE 200-400 J/KG ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM ERN MO TO SRN IL IN THE WARM SECTOR...BUT
MINIMAL THERMAL BUOYANCY WILL LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL.  STRONGER 
TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT FROM THE LOWER OH VLY NEWD INTO THE TN
AND MID-OH VLYS AS SWLY LLJ RESPONDS TO INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS. 
THESE BANDS OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED AND...GIVEN MUCAPES
LESS THAN 500 J/KG...SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL WILL BE LOW.

..RACY.. 02/15/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.