[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 291955
SWODY1
SPC AC 291953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST THU DEC 29 2005

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE JFK 10 W ORH
CON 25 NW PWM 25 ENE AUG 30 N EPM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LONG ISLAND INTO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND...
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO OPEN AND WILL TRANSLATE NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT.  MID-AFTN WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTING NEWD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AROUND THE LOW.  SECONDARY
SURFACE LOW HAS INTENSIFIED VCNTY LONG ISLAND AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE
AND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NNEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING.

INITIAL WARM CONVEYOR INDUCED BAND OF CONVECTION WAS MOVING ACROSS
THE SERN MA COASTAL WATERS AT MID-AFTN AND WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
OF MAINE AND EVENTUALLY DOWNEAST MAINE DURING THE EVENING.  AN
ADDITIONAL AREA OF SHOWERS WAS DEVELOPING ALONG THE NOSE OF A
MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT EAST OF ATLANTIC CITY.  AS THE UPPER TROUGH
SWINGS NEWD...THIS NEW CONVECTION WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF SRN NEW
ENGLAND.

MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE COLUMN REMAINS WEAKLY
BUOYANT ALOFT. GIVEN THE ENHANCED UVV ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER IMPULSE...ISOLD TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS
PARCELS ARE LOFTED TO A LEVEL WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE AOB MINUS 20C
/ICE DEVELOPMENT/.  HIGHEST TSTM PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN ACROSS
ERN PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND AND PRIMARILY THROUGH LATE
EVENING.

..RACY.. 12/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM