[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 061902
SWODY1
SPC AC 061900

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CST TUE DEC 06 2005

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE MFE 15 WSW ALI
30 NW NIR 50 NNW VCT 45 W HOU 35 SSE GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW EYW 30 SW MIA
40 E MIA.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

BROADENING BAROCLINIC ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH PRIMARY COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.  IN ITS WAKE...STABLE
THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE IS NOW PRESENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE NATION
EAST OF THE ROCKIES...WITH A STRONG REINFORCING COLD INTRUSION NOW
TAKING PLACE IN THE LEE OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES.  WITH MUCH
OF THE WESTERN STATES ALSO COLD/DRY/STABLE...POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD
IS LOW.

...FLORIDA...
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT NOW APPEARS
CONFINED TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS AND THE KEYS. FORCING
SEEMS WEAK AT BEST...AND...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS STILL
POSSIBLE...CONVECTION WILL MOSTLY LIKELY BE IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS DUE TO RELATIVELY WARM MID/UPPER ENVIRONMENT.

...SOUTH TEXAS...
SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WILL REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THIS PERIOD...AND SEEMS MOST LIKELY  IN
RESPONSE TO IMPULSE WITHIN SUBTROPICAL JET.  BEST CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE NEAR/NORTH THROUGH EAST OF WAVE...TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE...LATER TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...WEAK
DESTABILIZATION COULD ALSO OCCUR ALONG INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH
DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE LOW INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS COASTAL AREAS.

..KERR.. 12/06/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM