[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 1 16:18:12 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 011614
SWODY1
SPC AC 011613

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW UIL 40 WNW PDX
15 WNW EUG 40 NE 4BK 35 SW CEC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW ACK 25 NNW BOS
25 WNW AUG 35 NE BGR 15 SE EPM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW SFO 25 NE SFO
40 SW MER 40 NNE PRB 30 ESE PRB 30 S VBG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL AND ERN STATES...
A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY WILL
MOVE EWD TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY THIS EVENING...AND THEN
NEWD TO SRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY FRIDAY.  THIS WAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ON A PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE ALONG 70
W...AND THE DEEPENING LOW WILL LIFT NWD ACROSS CAPE COD THIS EVENING
AND INTO MAINE TONIGHT.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
NEAR AND NE OF THE LOW TRACK...WITHIN A BELT OF STRONG ASCENT AND
MARGINAL LOW-MID LEVEL BUOYANCY.

OTHERWISE...SOME CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE EXTREME NW GULF
OF MEXICO WITH THE FRONTAL SURGE TRAILING THE OH VALLEY SHORTWAVE
TROUGH.  HOWEVER...ANY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE.

...PACIFIC COAST...
A DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH NEAR 45 N AND 130 W WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
WA/ORE LATER TODAY.  STEEP LAPSE RATES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MID
LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT MARGINAL SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
NEAR THE COAST...AND AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

FARTHER S...A BELT OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND SEVERAL LOW AMPLITUDE
WAVES WILL SHIFT SLOWLY SWD INTO CENTRAL CA THROUGH TONIGHT. 
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR WITH THE DEEPER CONVECTION IN
THIS BROAD BAND NEAR THE COAST.

..THOMPSON.. 12/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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