[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Nov 7 00:41:30 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 070040
SWODY1
SPC AC 070038

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CST SAT NOV 06 2004

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE EYW 30 S PBI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN FL...
CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ARE IN PROGRESS THIS EVENING NEAR MIA ALONG/N OF
WEAK NE-SW SURFACE BOUNDARY WITHIN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY
MLCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG. DESPITE THE ABSENCE OF ANY APPRECIABLE
LARGE-SCALE FORCING...CONVERGENCE ALONG STORM-SCALE BOUNDARIES AND
MOIST/WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED/SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. 

...SRN CA...
EARLY EVENING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW /THE
CENTER OF WHICH IS CURRENTLY NEAR 32N/122W/ SLOWLY DRIFTING SWD.
MAJORITY OF LIGHTNING ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS HAS REMAINED
100-150NM OFFSHORE WITHIN DIVERGENT REGION E OF LOW CENTER. LATEST
SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN MOVING THIS FEATURE MORE
EWD OVERNIGHT. THOUGH THE THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TSTM OR TWO MAY
APPROACH THE COAST TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...GREATEST POTENTIAL
WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE. THUS...NO GENERAL TSTM AREA WILL BE OUTLOOKED.

..MEAD.. 11/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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