[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 060450
SWODY1
SPC AC 060448

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 PM CST FRI NOV 05 2004

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN BELT OF MID LATITUDE WESTERLIES WILL EXTEND FROM WRN CANADA TO
THE MIDWEST AND EAST THIS PERIOD WITH GRADUAL FLOW AMPLIFICATION AND
ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AIR SPREADING OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND GREAT
LAKES BY EARLY SUNDAY. LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE AND MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT FROM EXTENSIVE RIDGING... BOTH SURFACE AND
ALOFT...FROM THE ROCKIES ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND OVER MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. COLD CORE CUTOFF LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN OFF THE
COAST OF SRN CA. MODELS SUGGEST THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST BY
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE CONUS THIS PERIOD WITH
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF A FEW TSTMS ROTATING WITHIN THE CIRCULATION OF
THE CLOSED LOW OFF OF SRN CA. A FEW CG LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST OF SRN CA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
AREAL COVERAGE OVER LAND CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO LIMITED FOR A TSTM
OUTLOOK IN CA. CONVECTION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF FL WITHIN RESIDUAL FRONTAL BAND. WEAK LAPSE RATES AND
FORCING FOR ASCENT...AS WELL AS DRY NLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ACROSS
MOST OF FL...SHOULD LIMIT CG LIGHTNING TO OFFSHORE AREAS.

..CARBIN/BANACOS.. 11/06/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.