[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 291616
SWODY1
SPC AC 291614

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1014 AM CST WED DEC 29 2004

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W BKX 55 ENE ATY
25 W EAU 30 NE LNR 40 NNE MLI 20 WSW BRL 25 E LWD 30 ESE OMA 30 ESE
YKN 30 W BKX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ONP 55 N LMT 55
S 4LW 20 WSW RNO 30 N MER 25 SSE MRY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW YUM 25 SSE LAS
15 E P38 45 ESE U24 40 SSW VEL 55 SW CAG 15 WNW ASE 40 SE GUC 40 SSW
ALS 60 SSW GNT 70 WSW TUS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN OFF CA COAST IS ACCELERATING
ENEWD ACROSS SWRN U.S. THIS AM. BY THU AM SYSTEM WILL HAVE MOVED
ENEWD ACROSS CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO HIGH PLAINS.

AT 15Z VIGOROUS COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWD FROM SURFACE LOW ERN NV THRU
WRN AZ.  VERY STRONG WIND PROFILES ACROSS AZ AHEAD OF
FRONT...HOWEVER THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY  PRECLUDES A SEVERE THREAT.
 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING NEWD ACROSS AZ
AND THE 4-CORNERS AREA...GIVEN THE AVAILABILITY OF MOISTURE AND
MEAGER INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH.  GUSTY WINDS
THAT ARE OCCURRING DUE TO THE STRONG WIND FIELDS COULD BE ENHANCED
BY THE ONGOING CONVECTION BUT GENERALLY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS.

HAVE CONTINUED THE MARGINAL THREAT OF ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING
TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD VICINITY OF IA.  STRONG WARM
ADVECTION AND INCREASING MOISTURE COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
EMBEDDED STORMS DEVELOPING EVEN THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK.

..HALES.. 12/29/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.