[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 281930
SWODY1
SPC AC 281929

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 PM CST TUE DEC 28 2004

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W UKI 40 E UKI 40
WSW TVL 60 NNW NID LAS 45 ENE IGM 45 SW INW 55 ESE PHX 80 S GBN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN CA AREA...
ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EJECTING NEWD OVER THE SRN CA COAST NEAR
SANTA BARBARA AS OF MIDDAY...WHILE OTHER TROUGHS ARE ROTATING AROUND
THE SRN AND WRN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL LOW NOW LOCATED OFF THE
CENTRAL CA COAST.  THE INITIAL BAROCLINIC BAND WITH EMBEDDED
CONVECTION HAS MOVED INLAND ACROSS SRN CA...WHILE A SECONDARY BROKEN
BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIES THE LEAD MID LEVEL VORT MAX. 
STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK BUOYANCY WILL SPREAD INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...SUPPORTING A CONTINUED
THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  THE COMBINATION OF WEAK BUOYANCY...BACKED
LOW-LEVEL WINDS NEAR THE COAST...AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR THROUGH THE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD LAYER MAY SUPPORT MINI-SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
WATERSPOUT/TORNADO THIS AFTERNOON.

LATER TONIGHT...ANOTHER IN THE SERIES OF EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL APPROACH THE SRN CA COAST.  THERE WILL BE AN ASSOCIATED
INCREASE IN ASCENT AND VERTICAL SHEAR AS THIS WAVE NEARS THE
COAST...AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BECOME POSSIBLE BY
06-09Z.

..THOMPSON.. 12/28/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.