[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 16 12:49:29 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 161249
SWODY1
SPC AC 161247

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 AM CST THU DEC 16 2004

VALID 161300Z - 171200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
LOW AMPLITUDE SRN STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER NE MEXICO...IN
CONJUNCTION WITH LEAD IMPULSE OF DOUBLE-BARRELED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN
BRANCH OF MAIN JET AFFECTING THE SRN RCKYS/SRN PLNS...WILL CONTINUE
TO CAUSE A BROAD AREA OF ASCENT ACROSS THE NWRN GULF TODAY.

LOW LEVEL UPLIFT WILL BE FOCUSED INVOF INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS OFF THE MIDDLE TX GULF COAST.  THE TROUGH SHOULD
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY...AND THEN SETTLE FARTHER E/SE INTO
THE GULF THIS EVENING AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT DECREASES
WITH THE CONTINUED EWD MOTION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSES.  WHILE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING OVER THE WATERS OFF THE MIDDLE AND UPR TX GULF COAST...THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR STORMS AFFECTING THE IMMEDIATE COAST OR POINTS INLAND
LOOKS MINIMAL.

..CORFIDI.. 12/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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