[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Dec 15 12:29:10 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 151228
SWODY1
SPC AC 151227

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 AM CST WED DEC 15 2004

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PROGRESSIVE FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE...WITH RIDGE
ALONG THE W CST AND MEAN TROUGH OVER THE EAST. SFC HIGH NOW OVER
THE LWR MS VLY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EWD TODAY AS LEAD
IMPULSE OF DOUBLE-STRUCTURED DISTURBANCE OVER THE NRN/CNTRL RCKYS
CONTINUES ESEWD.  WITH TIME...EXPECT WEAK SURFACE TROUGH TO DEVELOP
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE NWRN GULF.  THIS WILL ALLOW LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO EDGE NWWD AND POSSIBLY REACH THE CNTRL/SRN TX GULF
COASTAL AREAS LATE IN THE PERIOD.  INCREASING MOISTURE INFLOW AND
CONVERGENCE OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA EARLY THURSDAY.  HOWEVER...GIVEN LOW
AMPLITUDE AND NRN TRACK OF UPPER DISTURBANCE...EXPECT THAT ACTIVITY
SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH 12Z.

ELSEWHERE...COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ACCOMPANYING UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH MAY RESULT IN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TODAY.  AND IN THE EAST...SCATTERED LOW-TOPPED
STORMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 12 HRS OR SO BENEATH SHARP
UPPER TROUGH OFF THE NC CST.

..CORFIDI.. 12/15/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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