[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Dec 12 19:33:09 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 121932
SWODY1
SPC AC 121930

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CST SUN DEC 12 2004

VALID 122000Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE CLE 35 N CLE
50 WNW ERI 40 NNE ERI BUF 30 ENE JHW 20 SSE ERI 30 ENE CLE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BUF 45 NNW BUF
55 N BUF ART 25 NNE SYR 35 E ROC 25 W ROC 20 N BUF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER GREAT LAKES...
STRONG...COLD SURFACE AND UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ESEWD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO SRN ONTARIO BY 12Z MONDAY.  TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL PASS OVER LAKE ERIE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN OVER
LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT.  THIS WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE SWLY FETCH
ACROSS THE LONG AXIS OF BOTH LAKES FOR SNOW BAND GENERATION.  LATEST
NOAA COASTWATCH LAKE SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATA ANALYSIS SHOWED MUCH
OF LAKE ERIE AT 7-8 C AND THESE SAME VALUES OVER THE ERN PART OF
LAKE ONTARIO.  AS COLD AIR SPREADS ATOP THE WARM LAKES LATER
TONIGHT...LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN WITH EQUILIBRIUM
TEMPERATURES BECOMING COLD ENOUGH FOR LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE
CONVECTIVE BANDS.

..PETERS.. 12/12/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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