[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Dec 11 13:04:29 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 111304
SWODY1
SPC AC 111302

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 AM CST SAT DEC 11 2004

VALID 111300Z - 121200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
AMPLIFIED WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LWR 48
THIS PERIOD.  ERN TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN TODAY AS COMPLEX
UPPER IMPULSE...NOW EXTENDING FROM THE LWR GRT LKS SWD INTO MIDDLE
TN/NRN AL...CONTINUES ESEWD.  A NARROW AXIS OF MID LEVEL INSTABILITY
WILL EXIST OVER THE HUDSON VLY/WRN NEW ENG THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY
TODAY AS LEADING EDGE OF IMPULSE ENCOUNTERS LINGERING AXIS OF
850-700 MB MOISTURE OVER REGION /PER 12Z ALB RAOB/.  WHILE THIS MAY
YIELD A FEW ELEVATED BUILDUPS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE LIGHTNING
STRIKES...SIGNIFICANT THUNDER DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

FARTHER W...STRONG UPSTREAM SPEED MAX NOW CROSSING SRN BC SHOULD
MOVE SE INTO SRN MN BY 12Z SUNDAY.  DESPITE SUBSTANTIAL LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT/COLD AIR ALOFT IN ASSOCIATED LEFT EXIT REGION...
MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE TOO LIMITED TO POSE A THREAT FOR THUNDER.

..CORFIDI.. 12/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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