[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Oct 16 20:35:57 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 162037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162037 
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-162200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2126
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX/MUCH OF LA/PARTS OF SRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 830...831...

VALID 162037Z - 162200Z

TORNADO/LOCALLY-DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION.

ANALYSES CONTINUE TO SHOW A WARM FRONT LIFTING SLOWLY NWD ACROSS THE
LOWER MS VALLEY...AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  LOW IS NOW
INDICATED OVER SRN AR...WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INTO S TX AND
A WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD TO NEAR MOBILE BAY.  LOW TO MID 70S
DEWPOINTS CHARACTERIZE THE WARM SECTOR...ALONG WITH MODERATE TO
STRONG SLY BOUNDARY-LAYER FLOW.  

WITHIN THIS TROPICAL/MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR...WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ARE ONGOING...ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN A NE-SW BAND
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.  SHEAR REMAINS VERY STRONG ACROSS THIS
REGION...RESULTING IN LOW-LEVEL ROTATION EVEN WITHIN SMALL RAIN
SHOWERS.  THOUGH THREAT FOR HAIL REMAINS ALMOST
NON-EXISTENT...LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..GOSS.. 10/16/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...

28979532 29179595 30509528 32349227 32148987 31568922
30018998 29449238 