[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 162320
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162319 
LAZ000-TXZ000-162345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0619 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX/MUCH OF LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 830...

VALID 162319Z - 162345Z

NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SRN LA.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM SE
TX /JEFFERSON COUNTY/ NEWD TO MADISON AND EAST CARROLL PARISHES IN
NERN LA.  THIS LINE WAS MOVING EWD...WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS AND
BOWING SEGMENTS WERE TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST.  THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO AFFECT ERN PARTS OF CENTRAL LA AND SOUTH CENTRAL LA
AFTER 00Z...WHEN THE CURRENT WATCH /WW 830 EXPIRES/.  THUS...GIVEN
PARAMETERS /0-1 KM SRH 300-400 M2/S2/ WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS...A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SRN LA.

..PETERS.. 10/16/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

29259421 30319335 30869285 31569224 31169164 30319176
30109125 30159061 28909038 28549093