[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Oct 16 22:05:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 162207
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162207 
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-162230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2127
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0507 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MS/PARTS OF SERN LA/SWRN AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 162207Z - 162230Z

WW BEING CONSIDERED FOR SERN MS...PARTS OF SERN LA...SWRN AL AND WRN
FL PANHANDLE.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A LOW OVER SRN AR...WITH AN ATTENDANT WARM
FRONT EXTENDING SEWD THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL MS INTO FAR SWRN AL.  AS
THE SURFACE LOW MOVES/DEVELOPS NEWD...THE WARM FRONT WILL MOVE
SLOWLY NNEWD ACROSS THESE REGIONS CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT...WITH BACKED SURFACE WINDS...FAVORABLE FOR STORM
ROTATION.  ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS IS WEAKLY UNSTABLE...STRONG SRH
VALUES /0-1 KM VALUES EXCEEDING 450 M2/S2/ SUPPORT STORM ROTATION
WITH NWD MOVING SHOWERS/STORMS THAT DEVELOP WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.

..PETERS.. 10/16/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

32608841 32658758 31978613 30368634 29578730 28958899
29748986 

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