[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Oct 10 17:31:50 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101734
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101734 
LAZ000-TXZ000-101830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 PM CDT TUE OCT 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...UPPER TX COAST

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 822...

VALID 101734Z - 101830Z

LINE SEGMENT MOVING INTO CNTRL HARRIS COUNTY HAS ACCELERATED TO
35-40 KTS WITH A STRONG REFLECTIVITY GRADIENT DEVELOPING ALONG ITS
LEADING EDGE.  EXTRAPOLATION HAS THE BOW NEAR KIAH AT 18Z AND ALONG
THE NRN TIP OF GALVESTON BAY AT 1830Z. THIS LINE HAS BEEN
LONG-LIVED WITH ITS SUPERCELL ORIGIN BETWEEN AUSTIN AND BRENHAM.  

OTHER STRONG STORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY SWD TO JUST WEST OF SUGAR
LAND...WHARTON AND EL CAMPO.  THESE STORMS MAY ALSO BOW OR BRIEFLY
BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITHIN THE LINE AS THEY MOVE TO THE COAST BY
19-20Z.  

DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...BUT THERE WILL BE
RISKS FOR TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY AS MORE DISCRETE CELLS DEVELOP
AHEAD AND MERGE WITH THE LINE SEGMENTS.

..RACY.. 10/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP...

31299452 29669350 28769499 28069692 28509742 28839715
29519592 30829545 