[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Oct 10 13:49:49 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101352 
TXZ000-101515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0852 AM CDT TUE OCT 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 820...

VALID 101352Z - 101515Z

REMAINDER OF TORNADO WATCH 820 IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 15Z.

WEAKENING UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE NEWD FROM NERN NM INTO
THE CNTRL PLAINS THIS MORNING. SRN EDGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS
WERE SKIRTING ACROSS CNTRL TX...BUT THE STRONGEST ASCENT WAS
BEGINNING TO TRANSLATE N OF CNTRL TX.  WRN EXTENT OF THE LINEAR MCS
SITUATED W OF I-35 HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN SINCE 12Z WITH THE
STRONGEST STORM EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE SAN MARCOS/NEW BRAUNFELS
REGION BY 15Z. 

MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER INFLOW REMAINS STRONGEST ACROSS SCNTRL AND DEEP
S TX.  AS THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SURGE SEWD TOWARD THE
I-35 CORRIDOR...THE UNCAPPED AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS SCNTRL TX.
 THE TORNADO THREAT HAS DECREASED AND/OR SHIFTED INTO THE NEW
TORNADO WATCH 821...HOWEVER...GIVEN WEAKENING BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW
ACROSS SCNTRL TX.  ISOLD DAMAGING GUSTS COULD OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS ACROSS SCNTRL TX...AND THAT REGION WILL BE MONITORED
FOR A POSSIBLE WW AS THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO HEAT AND BECOMES MORE
UNSTABLE.

..RACY.. 10/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

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