[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 080822
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080821 
NCZ000-SCZ000-080945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT SUN OCT 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NC/NERN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 080821Z - 080945Z

SMALL AREA OF LOW-PROBABILITY TORNADO THREAT EXISTS ACROSS PARTS OF
ERN NC/NERN SC ATTM.  LIMITED POTENTIAL AND SMALL AREAL COVERAGE OF
POTENTIAL THREAT SUGGESTS THAT WW WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

UPPER LOW NOW CENTERED OVER SC SHOULD CONTINUED DRIFTING SLOWLY SWWD
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH ELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS
ERN NC.  MOST FAVORABLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS OFFSHORE OVER
THE GULF STREAM...WITH LIMITED IF ANY INLAND PENETRATION OF THE
HIGHER THETA-E AIR ANTICIPATED.  

A FEW ROTATING STORMS ARE EVIDENT JUST S OF ILM OVER THE GULF
STREAM...AS VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT IN THE LOWEST COUPLE OF KM ARE
YIELDING SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF LOW-LEVEL ROTATION.  THOUGH STORMS
SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY-ELEVATED AS THEY CONTINUE MOVING NWD
TOWARD THE COAST AND EVENTUALLY INLAND...A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT AS STORMS MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS BRUNSWICK COUNTY NC AND
ADJACENT HORRY COUNTY SC.

..GOSS.. 10/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...

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