[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 292120
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292119 
NMZ000-300145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2238
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL NM

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 292119Z - 300145Z

LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW...WITH RATES OF 2 IN/HR POSSIBLE...WILL
DEVELOP/SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. 

VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA DEPICTS WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF SNOW EXTENDING
ACROSS CENTRAL-EASTERN NM...ROUGHLY EITHER SIDE OF I-40 AT MID
AFTERNOON. HEAVY SNOW HAS BEEN PREVALENT AT RATON/LAS VEGAS NM
ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOST RECENTLY AT CLINES CORNERS
NM/KCQC. DEVELOPMENT OF LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW APPEARS LIKELY INTO THE
TUCUMCARI NM AREA AND OTHER LOCALES ALONG I-40/HIGHWAY 60 THROUGH
00Z AS THE COLD FRONT/DEEP LAYER ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD
SOUTHWARD ACROSS NM. LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING...WEAK
STATIC STABILITY...AND FAVORABLE NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
TRAJECTORIES WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW INTO THIS
EVENING...WITH 2 IN/HR RATES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE MOST INTENSE
SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED SNOW BANDS.

..GUYER.. 11/29/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...

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