[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 292106
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292105 
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-292230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0305 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...N TX/PARTS OF CENTRAL AND ERN OK/PORTIONS OF NWRN
AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 869...

VALID 292105Z - 292230Z

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF WW 869...WHERE SEVERE THREAT
CONTINUES.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WRN HALF OF WW...MAINLY ON AND TO THE COOL SIDE
OF THE SURFACE FRONT.  MEAN-LAYER CAPE REMAINS FROM ROUGHLY 500 TO
NEAR 1000 J/KG ACROSS THAT PORTION OF WW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHICH
WILL ALLOW AN EWD SPREAD/EXPANSION OF CONVECTION.  

AREA PROFILERS CONTINUE TO REVEAL STRONG SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS AND ASSOCIATED POTENTIAL
FOR HAIL AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS.  ADDITIONALLY...LATEST DQU
/DEQUEEN AR/ PROFILER INDICATES 25 KT 0-1 KM SHEAR...SUPPORTIVE OF A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..GOSS.. 11/29/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...

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