[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Nov 7 20:16:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 072018
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072018 
FLZ000-072145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2181
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 PM CST TUE NOV 07 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 072018Z - 072145Z

...STRONG STORMS WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS WCNTRL FL PENINSULA
SHORTLY...

SCATTERED SUPERCELLS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG TRAILING LINE
SEGMENT...ROUGHLY 30SW OF PIE. REGIONAL RADAR DATA CLEARLY DEPICTS
MVC MOVING INLAND JUST NORTH OF TPA.  ONGOING SUPERCELLS STRUCTURES
OFF THE COAST ARE MOST LIKELY ENHANCED BY MORE BUOYANT MARITIME
AIRMASS AND SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE INLAND. 
HOWEVER...TRANSITIONAL PHASE FROM HIGHER INSTABILITY OFFSHORE INTO
WEAKER INSTABILITY OVER LAND MAY SUPPORT ORGANIZED STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF GENERATING ISOLATED TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH DISCRETE
CELLS SOUTH OF ORGANIZED CLUSTER.  EXPECTED BREVITY OF SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS INLAND WILL PRECLUDE A TORNADO WATCH.

..DARROW.. 11/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...

27488299 28148263 27848220 26908171 26478208 