[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon May 29 08:31:10 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 290828
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290828 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-291000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1018
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0328 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL/NERN ND...W-CENTRAL MN...NERN
SD.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 418...

VALID 290828Z - 291000Z

STRONG/POSSIBLY SVR TSTM NW JMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NNEWD
APPROXIMATELY 50 KT ALONG 850 MB FRONT TOWARD DVL AREA...WHERE SFC
TEMPS UPPER 50S F AND ASSOCIATED STABLE LAYER IN FCST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS LIMITED/ISOLATED.  CONVECTION
PRODUCED 33 KT GUST AT JMS.  POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR OCCASIONAL SVR
HAIL.  BECAUSE OF LIMITED TIME/AREA AFFECTED...PRIND ADDITIONAL WW
WILL NOT BE NECESSARY.

FARTHER SE...GUST FRONT FROM INITIAL TSTM CLUSTER PRODUCED 39 KT
GUST AT ABR METAR/ASOS BUT MEASURED 54 KT GUST ON WFO ABR WIND
EQUIPMENT...AS WELL AS VEGETATIVE DAMAGE IN CLARK COUNTY.  ALTHOUGH
GUST FRONT IS WELL REMOVED FROM ANY THUNDER...POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
GUSTS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH NERN CORNER SD BEFORE ASSOCIATED DENSITY
CURRENT WEAKENS.  ISOLATED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ATOP OUTFLOW POOL AND
BEHIND GUST FRONT...BUT SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS LIMITED ATTM.  PER
COORD W/FSD...SERN SD IS BEING REMOVED FROM WW...AND REMAINING
PORTIONS WW MAY BE EXPIRATION OR ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED.

..EDWARDS.. 05/29/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...

46589720 47089803 47029929 49049937 48999786 47399740
46829526 45209639 45169756 