[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat May 20 23:20:16 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 202317
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202317 
OKZ000-TXZ000-210115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0911
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 PM CDT SAT MAY 20 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 202317Z - 210115Z

POTENTIAL FOR DRY MICROBURSTS WILL EXIST FROM THE FAR EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE INTO NORTHWEST OK OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A WATCH
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO FAR
NORTHERN OK...A STORM HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED/INTENSIFIED ACROSS
HARPER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OK AS OF 23Z...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
ACROSS THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE. NEAR STORM ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF
THIS ACTIVITY IS CHARACTERIZED BY A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR 100 F. MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR AND INVERTED-V
PROFILE BELOW 600 MB WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR STRONG DOWNDRAFTS
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH DCAPE OF 1200-1500 J/KG PER RUC
DIAGNOSTICS. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

..GUYER.. 05/20/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

35410055 36490024 36899740 36109773 35239993 