[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed May 10 13:33:09 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101331 
ALZ000-MSZ000-101500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0825
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0831 AM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...WRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101331Z - 101500Z

A LINEAR MCS NEAR THE MS RIVER WILL CONTINUE ESEWD ACROSS NRN MS AND
WRN AL. A THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL MAY CONTINUE WITH THE MCS
OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 3 HOURS.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A SFC LOW OVER NWRN MS WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F ACROSS MOST OF CNTRL AND NRN MS.
SFC TEMPS ARE WARMER SOUTH OF THE MCS ACROSS CNTRL MS WHERE MODERATE
INSTABILITY EXISTS. THE MCS IS TRACKING ALONG THE INSTABILITY
GRADIENT AND AS DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES THIS MORNING...THE
INSTABILITY SHOULD SUSTAIN THE MCS. WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILERS SHOW
0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 40 TO 50 KT RANGE SUGGESTING ORGANIZED
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. BECAUSE
THE MCS HAS ORGANIZED INTO A SHORT-LINE...THE THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE
WITH BOWING SEGMENTS MAY BE THE GREATEST THREAT. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS IN THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...

32708840 33139050 33569083 34279052 34508975 34068777
33398735 32838758 

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