[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 101048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101047 
ALZ000-MSZ000-101215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0823
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 AM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SMALL PART OF ECNTRL/SERN MS AND CNTRL/SRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101047Z - 101215Z

LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD INTO/THROUGH NWRN/WCNTRL AL AND
ECNTRL MS.  NRN EDGE OF THE MCS WAS WEAKENING AS IT MOVES BEYOND THE
PRIMARY FEED OF INSTABILITY.  BUT...SRN EDGE OF THE COMPLEX
CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN/INCREASE INTENSITY.  LATEST PROFILER/VWP PLOT
SUGGESTS THAT THE AXIS OF 30-35 KT SWLY H85 JET WAS SITUATED FROM
NRN LA INTO NRN MS.  PARCELS FEEDING THE TSTMS WERE ORIGINATING IN A
PLUME OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR AN
ORGANIZED MCS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SWRN HALF OF AL WAS RECOVERING WITH
THE BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS INCREASING.  IF THE MOST UNSTABLE
PORTION OF THE WARM SECTOR CAN BECOME SITUATED MORE NW-SE AHEAD OF
THE COMPLEX OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...A DAMAGING WIND BOW ECHO
TYPE OF SITUATION MAY CONTINUE ACROSS CNTRL/SRN PARTS OF AL.  AS
SUCH...A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THESE AREAS.

..RACY.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...

34178766 33588603 32618532 32038517 31348520 31168591
31428706 31868829 32198870 32818893 33448831 

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