[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue May 9 21:10:25 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 092108
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092108 
TXZ000-092245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0811
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092108Z - 092245Z

...SVR TSTMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTN/EVENING PENDING STORM INITIATION. WW
WOULD BE NECESSARY IF STORMS DEVELOP...

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TOWERING CUMULUS DEVELOPING ON
THE EDGE OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INVOF JCT/ECU. SHARP DRYLINE EXTENDS
EAST OF ABI/SJT WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS EAST OF THE DRYLINE IN
THE LOWER 70S. ATMOSPHERE IS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES
IN EXCESS OF 4000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50 KT AND
VERY STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH
POTENTIALLY VERY LARGE HAIL OR AN ISOLD TORNADO IF STORMS FORM.

..TAYLOR.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

29829809 29219986 29620060 30140037 31059969 31429896
31379802 30909759 30379770 

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