[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 092057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092057 
ALZ000-MSZ000-092300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0810
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MS....CNTRL AND WRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092057Z - 092300Z

AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
ACROSS ERN MS AND WRN AL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A NEW WW MAY
BECOME NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S F
ACROSS MUCH OF SRN MS AND PARTS OF SW AL. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
PRESENT IN THIS AREA WITH A LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS ORIENTED ALONG
THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT. THE STORMS ARE BEING SUPPORTED BY THE
INSTABILITY AND STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR SHOWN ON WSR-88D VWPS SUGGESTS
THAT SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE TO
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...

31488658 31748867 33238915 34238858 34288789 33938716
32908650 32208625 

WWWW