[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue May 9 00:43:57 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 090042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090042 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-090215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0798
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA/MS/SW AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 308...

VALID 090042Z - 090215Z

...LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT MAY BE INCREASING WITH SUPERCELLS
ENTERING WRN MS. WATCH WILL BE LOCALLY EXTENDED AND NEW WATCH WILL
BE ISSUED EWD INTO AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE... 

NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED INVOF OF WARM FRONT THIS EVENING.
AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S CNTRL MS TO 70S NEAR THE GULF
COAST...WHERE MLCAPE VALUES EXCEED 2500 J/KG. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT
TERRIBLY STRONG /ON THE ORDER OF 10-15 KT/ AND THAT MAY LIMIT
TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS. THERE IS A
POTENTIAL TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY LONG LIVED SUPERCELL.
OTHERWISE...VERY LARGE HAIL/ISOLD DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS. WATCH WILL LIKELY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED DOWNSTREAM.

..TAYLOR.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

30278549 30379370 32989400 32108495 

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