[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 071955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071955 
SCZ000-GAZ000-072200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC THROUGH SERN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 303...

VALID 071955Z - 072200Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ANOTHER FEW HOURS. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO REMAINS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS ERN
SC...BUT PRIMARY THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE TRANSITIONED TO DAMAGING
WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

THIS AFTERNOON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS THE SRN PARTS OF SC
WWD INTO N CNTRL GA. SCATTERED STORMS PERSIST ACROSS ERN SC WITHIN
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR NEAR AND S OF THE FRONT. NUMEROUS
STORM MERGERS HAVE RESULTED IN STORMS EVOLVING INTO MOSTLY MULTICELL
MODES...AND THIS APPEARS TO HAVE MITIGATED THE TORNADO THREAT.
MOREOVER...OUTFLOW FROM THE STORMS HAVE STABILIZED THE BOUNDARY
LAYER NEAR THE FRONT. HOWEVER...SHEAR PROFILES IN THE 0-6 KM LAYER
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SOME STORMS TO TAKE ON SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES...AND A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER ERN SC.
OTHERWISE...THE PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD BE DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL INTO
THE EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL.. 05/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...

32757923 31818066 31618172 32688189 33437997 

WWWW