[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 071911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071911 
GAZ000-FLZ000-072115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0782
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL FL PANHANDLE THROUGH SWRN AND S CNTRL
GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 302...

VALID 071911Z - 072115Z

STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ON SRN END OF THE MCS FROM
THE WRN AND CNTRL FL PANHANDLE INTO SRN GA NEXT FEW HOURS.

LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL GA SWWD THROUGH SWRN GA AND THEN
WWD INTO THE WRN AND CNTRL FL PANHANDLE. ACTIVITY IS MOVING EAST AT
AROUND 25 KT. A FEW STORMS WITH SOME SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS HAVE
ALSO DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE LINE ALONG THE GA/FL BORDER IN THOMAS
COUNTY OF EXTREME SRN GA AND JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE FL PANHANDLE.
STORMS ON THE SRN END OF THE MCS ARE IN A FAVORABLE POSITION TO
INGEST FEED OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR LOCATED ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE
AND EXTREME SRN GA. VWP DATA SHOWS THE STORMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN
LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40-50 KT. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. STORMS ON
TRAILING END OF MCS ARE ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE DEEP LAYER WIND
PROFILES. IN ADDITION TO POSING A THREAT FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL...THESE STORMS WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL
RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR AS THEY TRAIN EWD.

..DIAL.. 05/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

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