[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu May 4 08:20:33 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 040819
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040819 
TXZ000-040915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0753
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 AM CDT THU MAY 04 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 287...

VALID 040819Z - 040915Z

MATURE MCS MOVING EWD/SEWD ACROSS NWRN TX HAS BECOME OUTFLOW
DOMINANT ON THE SRN EDGE WITH A MARKED DECREASE IN VIL INTENSITY AND
SHRINKING COVERAGE OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS ON IR IMAGERY. LOW LEVEL
INFLOW INTO AND ACROSS THE ERN LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD POOL COULD
STILL MAINTAIN STOUT UPDRAFTS ACROSS PALO PINTO AND ERATH COUNTIES
OVER THE NEXT HOUR. GIVEN STRONG MESOHIGH...AVAILABLE INSTABILITY...
AND WELL DEVELOPED COLD POOL EMBEDDED WITHIN WEAK DEEP LAYER WLY
FLOW...STRONG STORMS MAY MAKE IT TO THE WRN EDGE OF THE DFW
METROPLEX IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LATEST TRENDS SUGGEST SEVERE
POTENTIAL WITH THIS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN TOO LOW FOR AN ADDITIONAL
WATCH.

..CARBIN.. 05/04/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...MAF...

32199687 30929753 30499914 30660009 31150150 31870140
32450014 33079900 33479816 33519750 33209736 

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