[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed May 3 23:35:46 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 032335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032334 
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-040100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MO/WESTERN KY/WESTERN INTO MIDDLE TN/MUCH
OF AR/NORTHERN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282...283...

VALID 032334Z - 040100Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282 CONTINUES UNTIL
01Z...A WATCH REPLACEMENT MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MO AND PERHAPS NORTHERN AR. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 283 CONTINUES
UNTIL 02Z. 

SATELLITE DIAGNOSTICS FEATURE REMNANT MCV OVER EASTERN AR. IN THE
EASTERN PORTION OF WATCHES 282/283...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE
ESPECIALLY FOCUSED AT THIS TIME ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS MCV AND IN
VICINITY OF OUTFLOW/WARM FRONT CONJUNCTION...NAMELY ACROSS FAR
SOUTHWEST KY INTO WESTERN TN AND FAR NORTHERN MS. IN THESE
AREAS...AMBIENT AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND SUPPORTIVE
OF SEVERE STORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 

ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282...SUPERCELL NOW ENTERING FAR
SOUTHWEST MO...WITH ADDITIONAL DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTH
CENTRAL MO. AHEAD OF THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT...STORM ROTATION MAY
CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS STORMS
MOVE SE ACROSS SOUTHWEST MO IN THE SHORT TERM. OVERALL PRIMARY
THREAT WILL REMAIN LARGE HAIL. GIVEN SCHEDULED 01Z EXPIRATION OF WW
282...A WATCH REISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MO AND PERHAPS NORTHERN AR.

..GUYER.. 05/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

37169434 38079334 37689028 36248680 35028728 34069032
33899241 34369286 35529253 36399334 

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