[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat May 27 01:57:25 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 270155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270155 
MOZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-270330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0995
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0855 PM CDT FRI MAY 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/SOUTH CENTRAL NEB AND FAR NORTHEAST
CO/NORTHERN KS INTO EASTERN NEB/NORTHEAST KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 405...408...

VALID 270155Z - 270330Z

TORNADO WATCH 408 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z. VALID PORTION OF TORNADO
WATCH 405 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH COULD BE NEEDED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEB/NORTHEAST KS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

PRIMARY THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH
OF WATCHES 408/405...NAMELY WESTERN NEB/SOUTH CENTRAL NEB INTO NORTH
CENTRAL KS. 00Z RAOBS/OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS AMBIENT ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN PRESENCE OF MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR.

ACROSS WW 408...WELL ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM CLUSTERS/SMALL SCALE
BOWS ARE PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KS AS THIS TIME.
DEVELOPING S/SW LOW LEVEL JET AND DOWNSTREAM PROPAGATION INTO
UNSTABLE AIRMASS /REF 00Z TOPEKA RAOB/ APPEARS LIKELY TO SUPPORT AT
LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT DEVELOPING INTO SOUTHEAST
NEB/NORTHEAST KS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. EXTENT/COVERAGE OF
SEVERE THREAT AND NECESSITY FOR A WATCH IS UNCERTAIN...HOWEVER WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

..GUYER.. 05/27/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...

42610342 42000180 41510065 41469864 41539634 41259580
41059556 39859550 39159607 39119760 39129920 38790002
38800095 40040189 40570306 








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