[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Mon May 22 18:34:38 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 221831
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221830 
SCZ000-GAZ000-222030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0933
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CDT MON MAY 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN AND ERN GA/WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221830Z - 222030Z

MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SLOWLY INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF NRN AND ERN
GA AND ADJACENT WRN SC.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CU FIELD EVOLUTION
ACROSS THIS REGION.

SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM NRN GA SEWD
ACROSS SRN SC...WHERE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES.  THIS
REGION LIES BENEATH SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER NWLY FLOW ALOFT --
ROUGHLY ALONG THE ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT.  CLOUDS/SHOWERS CONTINUE
MOVING ESEWD ACROSS NRN AL/NWRN GA AHEAD OF WEAK UPPER FEATURE.  AS
ASSOCIATED AREA OF LARGE-SCALE UVV SPREADS ACROSS DESTABILIZING
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
FROM WITHIN AGITATED CU FIELD NOW EVIDENT OVER NRN GA -- WITH
ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL.  COULD STORMS 
ORGANIZE INTO A MESOSCALE CLUSTER INVOF FRONT...A MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SEVERE THREAT -- INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS -- COULD
EVOLVE SHIFT SEWD ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY.

..GOSS.. 05/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

34448311 33878109 32588132 32868340 33818481 34588394 








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