[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon May 15 17:05:47 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 151702
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151702 
FLZ000-GAZ000-151830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0878
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1202 PM CDT MON MAY 15 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 151702Z - 151830Z

VSBL SATL CONTINUES TO SHOW A GROWING CUMULUS FIELD ACROSS NRN FL
WITH TSTMS INITIATING ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR THE GA/FL
BORDER AREA.  AIR MASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY HAS BECOME VERY
UNSTABLE OWING TO STRONG HEATING AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7
DEGREES C PER KM.  TSTMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS
TAIL-END OF A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. 
0-6KM SHEAR OF 45-50 KTS AND MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY SUGGEST THAT
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISKS.

..RACY.. 05/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29868358 30448319 30658155 29148097 28678289 