[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed May 10 19:43:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101942
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101942 
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-102145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0832
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MS...NE LA AND SRN AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 332...

VALID 101942Z - 102145Z

THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS
ACROSS CNTRL MS...NE LA AND SRN AL. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO MAY
OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGER MORE WELL-DEVELOPED
SUPERCELLS.

DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNDERWAY ACROSS NE LA
WITH ADDITIONAL CELLS DEVELOPING ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN MS. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A 45 KT LOW-LEVEL JET CENTERED OVER SWRN MS WITH
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES PRESENT ACROSS CNTRL MS EXTENDING
WWD INTO NE LA AND EWD INTO SRN AL. IN ADDITION...JACKSON MS WSR-88D
CURRENTLY SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SPREADING SWD ACROSS CNTRL MS
ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. AS SUPERCELLS MOVE EWD ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY BECOME ENHANCED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE. THE STRONG TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST WITH SUPERCELLS THAT REMAIN
DISCRETE AND TRACK ESEWD INTO THE LOW-LEVEL JET. THE
INSTABILITY/SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALSO SUGGESTS LARGE HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...SHV...

31338790 31549126 31659229 32209266 32779241 32929119
32818921 32638804 32418715 31858699 

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