[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed May 10 02:56:28 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 100255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100254 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-100500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0818
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0954 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL/SWRN GA/PANHANDLE FL

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 100254Z - 100500Z

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD AS UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE OVER ECNTRL MS CONTINUES ITS RAPID EWD MOVEMENT.  MUCAPES
IN THE REGION RANGE FROM ABOUT 1500 J/KG OVER SRN AL AND DECREASE TO
ABOUT 1000 J/KG IN SWRN GA. ALTHOUGH THE STORMS ARE MAINLY ELEVATED
ALONG AND NORTH OF SURFACE BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS FROM JUST SOUTH OF
BGE TO CEW TO JUST NORTH OF PIB...EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR THE GULF
COAST REMAINS AOA 40 J/KG. 

WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/DIMINISHING INSTABILITY STORMS HAVE
BEEN DECREASING IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING. THE LARGE SCALE
ENVIRONMENT BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE WITH TIME AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
SHORTWAVE MOVES EWD...SO STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. 

DUE TO THE ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT ANOTHER WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

..BRIGHT.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

31938782 32228712 32168639 31858506 31408395 30878348
29958334 30188424 30178569 30448643 30368825 30648918
31408866 

WWWW