[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon May 8 21:43:52 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 082142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082142 
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-082315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0794
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0442 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AR/NRN LA/WRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 082142Z - 082315Z

...SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY BE INCREASING ACROSS SRN AR/NRN LA AND WATCH
MAY BE REQUIRED SHORTLY...

LATEST SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM S/SE
OF ELD WWD TO TYR. AIRMASS SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAS WARMED INTO
THE 80S...BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2000-2500
J/KG. DEEP LAYER AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR ARE EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS. RECENT DATA FROM WINNFIELD LA PROFILER SHOWS ELONGATED
HODOGRAPH...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR AROUND 60 KT. IN
ADDITION...SHORTWAVE/MCV TYPE FEATURE NOW MOVING INTO SW AR WILL
LIKELY ENHANCE CONVECTION. AS STORMS NOW ALONG AR/LA BORDER...WHICH
HAVE BEEN ELEVATED...BECOME ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...THEN
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS HIGH.

..TAYLOR.. 05/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

30979127 31289337 32769362 33299360 33519322 33679240
33599127 33158940 32048951 31198973 

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