[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 080054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080053 
TXZ000-NMZ000-080230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0786
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 305...

VALID 080053Z - 080230Z

...SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS SW TX INTO THE TRANSPECOS REGION
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO...

SEVERAL SUPERCELL STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...WITH AT LEAST A COUPLE STORMS WHICH WILL AFFECT MIDLAND AND
POINTS FARTHER EAST WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW
CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS SRN STREAM IMPULSE APPROACHES. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR EXCEEDS 60 KT ON 00Z MIDLAND SOUNDING...WITH SIGNIFICANT LOW
LEVEL VEERING/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR NOTED. IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF
VERY LARGE HAIL...ISOLD TORNADO POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS. ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY BECOME ROOTED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER...AS
THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS TO AROUND 40 KT. LOW LEVEL ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET CIRCULATION MAY SUPPORT A SEVERE
THREAT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT
TRANSITIONING TO LARGE HAIL AS STORMS BECOME ELEVATED.

..TAYLOR.. 05/08/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

29550039 29510219 31450277 32920323 33030124 32850045
29609962 

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