[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu May 4 03:11:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 040307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040307 
TXZ000-040430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0750
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1007 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...RIO GRANDE VALLEY

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 040307Z - 040430Z

LIMITED SEVERE THREAT MAY SPREAD E OF THE RIO GRANDE INTO TX...BUT
WW LIKELY NOT REQUIRED AS OVERALL WEAKENING TREND WITH ONGOING
CONVECTION SHOULD PERSIST.

LATEST RADAR SHOWS STORMS MOVING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN
MEXICO AND INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ATTM...WHERE FAVORABLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE.  THOUGH MID-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS
FAIRLY WEAK IN THIS REGION /AROUND 20 KT/...VEERING EVIDENT IN
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION.  

WITH A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING EWD TOWARD THE TX
BIG BEND PER LATEST WV IMAGERY...INCREASING LARGE-SCALE UVV MAY
ALLOW A FEW STORMS TO LINGER/MOVE INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/HILL
COUNTRY REGION...ACCOMPANIED BY A LOCAL THREAT FOR HAIL/BRIEF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..GOSS.. 05/04/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...

29900166 30260042 30039927 29139857 27739902 27669971
28260025 29020059 

WWWW