[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Mar 31 05:32:09 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 310534
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310534 
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-310600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK/NWRN AR/NERN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 112...

VALID 310534Z - 310600Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS MOST OF WW AREA...THOUGH
PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE RED RIVER OVER SERN OK/NERN TX MAY
LINGER BEYOND 31/06Z.

TWO CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS REMAIN ACROSS WW ATTM -- 0NE
ACROSS NWRN AR AND THE OTHER OVER SERN OK/NERN TX.  STORMS OVER NWRN
AR CONTINUE MOVING EWD...AND SHOULD MOVE OUT OF WW 112 INTO WW 115
BY 31/06Z.  MEANWHILE...CLUSTER OF STORMS ALONG THE RED RIVER HAS
PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS -- APPARENTLY WITHIN AREA OF WARM
ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL JET.  THOUGH LONG TERM TREND
WITH RESPECT TO CONVECTIVE INTENSITY SHOULD BE DOWNWARD AS LOW-LEVEL
JET VEERS/MOVES EWD AHEAD OF PROGRESSING UPPER SYSTEM...SEVERE
THREAT MAY LINGER OVER A SMALL AREA FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS.  WW MAY
BE EXTENDED LOCALLY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT
OTHERWISE WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 31/06Z.

..GOSS.. 03/31/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

36329314 34859412 33399551 33519702 34249643 34859497 

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