[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

Tue Mar 14 19:26:46 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 141929
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141928 
CAZ000-142100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 PM CST TUE MAR 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SACRAMENTO VALLEY OF CENTRAL/NRN CA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 141928Z - 142100Z

A FEW STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
EVENING...POSING A LOCAL/MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.

RECENT LIGHTNING STRIKES INDICATE THAT MARGINAL AIRMASS
DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NRN SACRAMENTO
VALLEY...CONFIRMING LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS SHOWING 200-400 J/KG
MOST-UNSTABLE CAPE EVOLVING AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE COAST.  

WITH 35 TO 40 KT FLOW AT 600 MB -- NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE UNSTABLE
LAYER -- ABOVE LOW-LEVEL VEERING WITH HEIGHT...SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A
FEW STRONGER/ROTATING UPDRAFTS IS INDICATED.  THEREFORE...EXPECT
MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL WITH STRONGEST CELLS...AND PERHAPS A FUNNEL
CLOUD OR BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. 

GIVEN STRONGLY DIURNAL NATURE OF CONVECTIVE THREAT...EXPECT ANY
SEVERE POTENTIAL TO WANE AFTER SUNSET.

..GOSS.. 03/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HNX...STO...MTR...

40382270 39022226 38102210 37652146 36382054 36511979
37091954 38052053 39562132 40352201 40772225 

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